Three real-shape procurement decisions, computed end‑to‑end
Each scenario shows the full Procure output: landed cost stack, five-supplier comparison with sanctions and CO₂ per origin, compliance notes, and reasoning behind the recommendation. Switch between scenarios with the tabs below.
1,200 kg primary aluminium ingots — extruded sections for UK glazing
Five candidate origins ranked on landed cost, CBAM exposure, lead time, and CO₂. Buyer is a UK fabricator; recommended origin is Türkiye on landed-cost-net-of-CBAM.
Predictive confidence scoring
Showing Türkiye — recommended pick
CBAM-exempt under EU treaty; ISO 9001 + IATF 16949 verified.
Eti Alüminyum running at 78% of nameplate; spare capacity for follow-on orders.
Spot up 16% over 12mo; CBAM phase-in pulling EU buyers to TR — lock now.
Mersin → Felixstowe stable; +5–7d buffer during Eid surge.
8.2 tCO₂e — 44% below the displaced Chinese baseline.
Cengiz Holding clean across UK, EU, US, OFAC consolidated lists.
- Price Forecast: Spot up 16% over 12mo; CBAM phase-in pulling EU buyers to TR — lock now.
Landed cost stack
Origin ranking
Why this pick & risks
Why
- •Türkiye delivers landed cost within 4% of Chinese alternative while removing the CBAM and UFLPA exposure.
- •8.2 tCO₂e is 44% below the Chinese baseline — material to your buyer's Scope 3 reporting.
- •18-day lead time supports your published quotation cycle without buffer stock.
- •Treaty-grade CBAM exemption removes ~$340 of levy versus India and ~$420 versus China.
Compliance
- ✓Country-of-origin traceable to smelter under ISO 9001 documentation chain.
- ✓CBAM CN code 7601.10 monitored — exemption status checked at order placement.
- ✓No UK / EU / US sanctions exposure on Eti Alüminyum or its parent Cengiz Holding.
Key risks
- !Türkiye CBAM treaty exemption is reviewed annually; renewal risk for orders placed Q1 2027 onwards.
- !Mersin port congestion can add 5–7 days during Eid logistics surge — buffer the lead time accordingly.
What you're looking at
Why these three scenarios
Picked to exercise different decision shapes — bulk raw material, used asset, geopolitical specialty — and to show that Procure works the same way across all of them.
Aluminium ingots
Classic CBAM-exposed bulk raw material. Tests the platform's ability to balance unit cost, treaty exemptions, and embodied carbon across five candidate origins.
Used reefer container
Second-hand asset purchase. Tests provenance verification, ISO 668 + CSC plate compliance, refrigeration-unit certification, and the trade-off between EU price advantage and UK pickup logistics.
Rare-earth magnets
Geopolitical specialty. Tests UFLPA Xinjiang exclusion, US Export Administration Regulations §744 review, MOD-adjacent end-use compliance, and the cost premium of an ESG-clean origin.
Run your own decision in seconds
These three scenarios are illustrative. Your decisions run on live sanctions registries, customs feeds, freight aggregator quotes, and embodied-carbon calculators. Pro is free for 7 days or until your first accepted order — whichever comes first.